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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Distracts
Signal
Signals
Marketing
Noise
Truth

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver