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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Competition
Baseball
Pretty
Politics
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Something
Discovered
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Data
Lows
More quotes by Nate Silver
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver