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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Looking
Something
Discovered
Like
Data
Lows
Competition
Baseball
Pretty
Politics
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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