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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Baseball
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver