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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Baseball
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Politics
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More quotes by Nate Silver
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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