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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver