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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Baseball
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More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver