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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Baseball
Pretty
Politics
Looking
Something
Discovered
Like
Data
Lows
Competition

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver