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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
High
Anymore
Though
Fantasy
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Baseball
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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