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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver