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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
People
Show
Tell
Shows
Different
Kind
Rapport
Believe
Prefer
Things
Build
Time
Audience
More quotes by Nate Silver
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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