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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Steely
Poker
Nerves
Playing
More quotes by Nate Silver
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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