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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Gravitate
Implies
Outlook
Happier
Toward
Information
People

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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