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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Gravitate
Implies
Outlook
Happier
Toward
Information
People

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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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