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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Baseball
Creative
Terrific
Data
More quotes by Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver