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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Deserve
Actually
Become
Power
Doe
Really
Transcend
Invested
Symbolic
More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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