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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Power
Doe
Really
Transcend
Invested
Symbolic
Deserve
Actually
Become
More quotes by Nate Silver
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver