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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Really
Transcend
Invested
Symbolic
Deserve
Actually
Become
Power
Doe
More quotes by Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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