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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Skepticism
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Evil
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More quotes by Nate Silver
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
