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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Roles
Macro
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Poll
Views
Polls
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Skepticism
More quotes by Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
