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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Half
Kind
Think
Thinking
Polling
Analysts
Dozen
Market
Space
More quotes by Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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