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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Dozen
Market
Space
Half
Kind
Think
Thinking
Polling
Analysts
More quotes by Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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