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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Market
Space
Half
Kind
Think
Thinking
Polling
Analysts
Dozen
More quotes by Nate Silver
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver