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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Half
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Think
Thinking
Polling
Analysts
Dozen
Market
More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver