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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Thinking
Polling
Analysts
Dozen
Market
Space
Half
More quotes by Nate Silver
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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