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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Articles
Really
Think
Thinking
Journal
More quotes by Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver