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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Journal
Articles
Really
Think
Thinking
More quotes by Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver