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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Articles
Really
Think
Thinking
Journal
More quotes by Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver