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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Twice
More quotes by Nate Silver
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver