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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Actually
Times
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Twice
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More quotes by Nate Silver
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver