Quote

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Signals
Marketing
Scientific
Noise
Requires
Knowledge
Self
Distinguishing
Signal

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver