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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Knowledge
Self
Distinguishing
Signal
Signals
Marketing
Scientific
Noise
Requires

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver