Quote

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Marketing
Scientific
Noise
Requires
Knowledge
Self
Distinguishing
Signal
Signals

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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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