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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Omens
Omen
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn
Believe
More quotes by Nate Silver
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver