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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn
Believe
Omens
Omen

More quotes by Nate Silver

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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver