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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Believe
Omens
Omen
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn

More quotes by Nate Silver

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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver