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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Omen
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn
Believe
Omens

More quotes by Nate Silver

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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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