Quote

Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn
Believe
Omens
Omen

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver