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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Believe
Omens
Omen
Caesar
Applied
Recognized
Didn
More quotes by Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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