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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Luxury
Presses
Press
Basically
Books
Book
Item
Printing
Items
More quotes by Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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