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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Public
Even
Economists
Pessimistic
Economist
Economy
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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