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Success makes you less intimidated by things.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Intimidated
Marketing
Less
Success
Makes
Things

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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