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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Habits
Habit
Friends
More quotes by Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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