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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Habit
Friends
Habits
More quotes by Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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