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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Behavior
Somebody
Also
Think
Predicting
Thinking
Participating
Observing
Experiment
Experiments
More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver