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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Experiment
Experiments
Behavior
Somebody
Also
Think
Predicting
Thinking
Participating
Observing

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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