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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Somebody
Also
Think
Predicting
Thinking
Participating
Observing
Experiment
Experiments
Behavior

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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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