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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Think
Predicting
Thinking
Participating
Observing
Experiment
Experiments
Behavior

More quotes by Nate Silver

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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver