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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Think
Predicting
Thinking
Participating
Observing
Experiment
Experiments
Behavior
Somebody

More quotes by Nate Silver

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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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