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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Election
Race
Stills
Still
Every
Determinant

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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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