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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Looking
Agenda
Agendas
Keeping
Data
Fit
Boring
Bubble
Watching
Fits
Gets
Bubbles

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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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