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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Looking
Agenda
Agendas
Keeping
Data
Fit
Boring
Bubble
Watching
Fits
Gets
Bubbles
More quotes by Nate Silver
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver