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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Political
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First
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Politics
More quotes by Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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