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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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