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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Odd
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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