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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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