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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Think
Odd
Thinking
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Views
Politics
Political
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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