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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver