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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Game
Games
Tell
Doesn
Much
Poll
Polls
Baseball

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver