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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Much
Poll
Polls
Baseball
Game
Games
Tell
Doesn

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver