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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Much
Poll
Polls
Baseball
Game
Games
Tell
Doesn
More quotes by Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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