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My nightmare scenario is that the government saves Citibank once again, as well as the other banks, and business resumes as usual. Then, the next time the system breaks, it breaks much, much bigger.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
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Economist
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Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
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Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
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Dress your best on your execution day. Be extremely courteous to your assistant when you lose money. Try not to blame others for your fate, even if they deserve blame. Never exhibit any self-pity. Do not complain.
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Experience is devoid of the cherry-picking that we find in studies.
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If humans fight the last war, nature fights the next one.
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He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors-though never the same error more than once-is more reliable than someone who has never made any.
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I want them poor and they deserve to be poor. You can't have capitalism without punishment.
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Ideas come and go, stories stay.
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Economics make homeopath and alternative healers look empirical and scientific.
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It might be useful to be able to predict war. But tension does not necessarily lead to war, but often to peace and to denouement.
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Read books are far less valuable than unread ones.
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My best definition of a nerd: someone who asks you to explain an aphorism
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A prophet is not someone with special visions, just someone blind to most of what others see
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The best test of whether someone is extremely stupid (or extremely wise) is whether financial and political news makes sense to him.
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Modernity widened the distance between the sensational and the relevant.
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We know from chaos theory that even if you had a perfect model of the world, you'd need infinite precision in order to predict future events. With sociopolitical or economic phenomena, we don't have anything like that.
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Let me be more aggressive: we are largely better at doing than we are at thinking, thanks to antifragility. I’d rather be dumb and antifragile than extremely smart and fragile, any time.
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Success is about honour, feeling morally calibrated, absence of shame, not what some newspaper defines from an external metric.
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Modernity has replaced ethics with legalese, and the law can be gamed with a good lawyer.
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The characteristic feature of the loser is to bemoan, in general terms, mankind's flaws, biases, contradictions, and irrationality - without exploiting them for fun and profit
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Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.
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When we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.
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