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He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors-though never the same error more than once-is more reliable than someone who has never made any.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Errors
Though
Less
Someone
Made
Sinned
Never
Reliable
Error
Plenty
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It is a sign of weakness to avoid showing signs of weakness.
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I'd rather have the market tell us what - I'd rather have events precipitate events, rather than just sit there like passive people in Washington.
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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
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The bonus for bankers fragilizes the system. Someone has the upside at the expense of others.
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Poverty is clearly one source of emotional suffering, but there are others, like loneliness.
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We know from chaos theory that even if you had a perfect model of the world, you'd need infinite precision in order to predict future events. With sociopolitical or economic phenomena, we don't have anything like that.
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The best test of whether someone is extremely stupid (or extremely wise) is whether financial and political news makes sense to him.
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Banks have never made money in the history of banking, losing the equivalent of all their past profits periodically - while bankers strike it rich.
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Education makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous.
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People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse.
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What we do today has nothing to do with capitalism or socialism. It is a crony type of system that transfers money to the coffers of bureaucrats.
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Capitalism is about adventurers who get harmed by their mistakes, not people who harm others with their mistakes.
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Injecting some confusion stabilizes the system.
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What fools call wasting time is most often the best investment.
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The characteristic feature of the loser is to bemoan, in general terms, mankind's flaws, biases, contradictions, and irrationality - without exploiting them for fun and profit
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There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient, and a random one. In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.
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When you write, you don't have the social constraints of having people in front of you, so you talk about abstract matters.
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The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.
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Avoid losers. If you hear someone use the words 'impossible', 'never', 'too difficult' too often, drop him or her from your social network.
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A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
