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The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Theory
Immortal
Either
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Death
Opposite
Past
Data
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Survive
Opposites
Likely
Confirm
Tomorrow
Exact
More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Only in recent history has working hard signaled pride rather than shame for lack of talent, finesse and, mostly, sprezzatura .
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Most people are sceptical about the wrong things and gullible about the wrong things.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Private equity has absolutely no reason to exist. The private equity holder has all the upside and the banks all the downside.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
As countries get rich they start increasing education and the very educated people tend to not like trial and error, because they think they're obligated to use the body of knowledge they have.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.
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A good maxim allows you to have the last word without even starting a conversation.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Banks have never made money in the history of banking, losing the equivalent of all their past profits periodically - while bankers strike it rich.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Is the economy something organic or is it something engineered? I think it's closer to the organic. You harm it by artificially suppressing volatility in it.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
They are born, put in a box they go home to live in a box they study by ticking boxes they go to what is called work in a box, where they sit in their cubicle box they drive to the grocery store in a box to buy food in a box they talk about thinking outside the box and when they die they are put in a box.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The bonus for bankers fragilizes the system. Someone has the upside at the expense of others.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The best way to measure the loss of intellectual sophistication - this nerdification, to put it bluntly - is in the growing disappearance of sarcasm, as mechanic minds take insults a bit too literally.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
[A] theory is a very dangerous thing to have.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Anything organic requires some dose of variability so it can adapt all the time, and fixing things is not a good idea.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
My best definition of a nerd: someone who asks you to explain an aphorism
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Economics make homeopath and alternative healers look empirical and scientific.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Daily news and sugar confuse our system in the same manner.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
You get pseudo-order when you seek order you only get a measure of order and control when you embrace randomness.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
