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The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Either
Closer
Death
Opposite
Past
Data
Mean
Survive
Opposites
Likely
Confirm
Tomorrow
Exact
Theory
Immortal

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You want to be yourself, idiosyncratic the collective (school, rules, jobs, technology) wants you generic to the point of castration.
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Just as being nice to the arrogant is no better than being arrogant toward the nice, being accommodating toward anyone committing a nefarious action condones it.
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Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.
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Most people are sceptical about the wrong things and gullible about the wrong things.
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If you let markets - in general, my belief is that if you let markets give you information, they'll give you the information rather than artificially prop up everything.
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You don't become completely free by just avoiding being a slave you also need to avoid becoming a master.
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To bankrupt a fool, give him information.
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Writing is the art of repeating oneself without anyone noticing.
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Love without sacrifice is like theft
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Don't read newspapers for the news (just for the gossip and, of course, profiles of authors). The best filter to know if the news matters is if you hear it in cafes, restaurants... or (again) parties.
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Comfort makes you weaker. We need some variability, some stressors. Not too much, but just enough.
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Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.
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The traits I respect are erudition and the courage to stand up when half-men are afraid for their reputation. Any idiot can be intelligent.
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You have family-owned businesses that have been around for 500 years. You cannot name a corporation that survives intact for even a few decades.
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The grandchildren should not bear the debts of the grandparents.
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Don't disturb complicated systems that have been around for a very long time. We don't understand their logic. Don't pollute the planet. Leave it the way we found it, regardless of scientific 'evidence'.
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The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
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The fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
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Education makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous.
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You never win an argument until they attack your person.
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