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Simplicity is not so simple to attain.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Simple
Attain
Simplicity
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Modernity has replaced ethics with legalese, and the law can be gamed with a good lawyer.
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Injecting some confusion stabilizes the system.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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Luck is the grand equalizer.
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Being an economist is the least ethical profession, closer to charlatanism than any science.
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Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.
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While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is incomplete information.
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If you are in banking and lending, surprise outcomes are likely to be negative for you.
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Missing a train is only painful if you run after it! Likewise, not matching the idea of success others expect from you is only painful if that’s what you are seeking.
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As countries get rich they start increasing education and the very educated people tend to not like trial and error, because they think they're obligated to use the body of knowledge they have.
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A washing machine needs constant maintenance. It doesn't want any harm. It wants tranquility, and you need someone to - you're not going to harm it by continuously monitoring it and adjusting it.
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I remind myself of Einstein's remark that common sense is nothing but a collection of misconceptions acquired by age 18.
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Writing is the art of repeating oneself without anyone noticing.
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My best definition of a nerd: someone who asks you to explain an aphorism
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He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors-though never the same error more than once-is more reliable than someone who has never made any.
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A prophet is not someone with special visions, just someone blind to most of what others see
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Don't disturb complicated systems that have been around for a very long time. We don't understand their logic. Don't pollute the planet. Leave it the way we found it, regardless of scientific 'evidence'.
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The best test of whether someone is extremely stupid (or extremely wise) is whether financial and political news makes sense to him.
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The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.
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When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.
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