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The sucker's trap is when you focus on what you know and what others don't know, rather than the reverse.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
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Economist
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Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
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Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
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The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.
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What we need to do is break the financial community's grip on society.
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Asking science to explain life and vital matters is equivalent to asking a grammarian to explain poetry.
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But they never notice the following inconsistency: this so-called worst-case event, when it happened, exceeded the worst case at the time.
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Read books are far less valuable than unread ones. The library should contain as much of what you do not know as your financial means, mortgage rates, and the currently tight real-estate market alow you to put there.
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The book is the only medium left that hasn't been corrupted by the profane.
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Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have—or don’t have—in their portfolio.
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While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is incomplete information.
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Never ask a trader if he is profitable: you can easily see it in his gesture and gait.
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Modernity has replaced ethics with legalese, and the law can be gamed with a good lawyer.
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They think that intelligence is about noticing things are relevant (detecting patterns) in a complex world, intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant (avoiding false patterns)
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The person you are most afraid to contradict is yourself.
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It is often the mistakes of others that benefit the rest of us and, sadly, not them ... For the antifragile, harm from errors should be less than the benefits.
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You want to favor systems that benefit from error, disorder, variability and things like that. You want to favor these systems and unfortunately, when - there's something I call the Soviet Illusion. The more the government becomes intrusive, the more things have to follow a script, and it can't handle this kind of system.
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Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense
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What we do today has nothing to do with capitalism or socialism. It is a crony type of system that transfers money to the coffers of bureaucrats.
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You get pseudo-order when you seek order you only get a measure of order and control when you embrace randomness.
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Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.
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